Monday, January 30, 2012

Sustainable Capitalism

Free-market capitalism is amazingly effective at releasing the energy, ingenuity, and industry of society.  It has repeatedly delivered more and better things to more people than any other economic system that has been tried.  However, it has a serious problem.  Over time, it simply is not sustainable.  Eventually too much of the wealth inevitably accumulates at the top. 

When that happens, the system quits working well because those who need to have disposable income to create demand for goods and services don’t have any.  The quality of life for most is greatly diminished because no one will hire them to produce goods and deliver services that aren’t needed, since most people can’t afford to buy them.  Even opportunities for those at the top are reduced because few have money to buy their products.  This keeps them from doing what they love most: making money. 

Anyone who has played Monopoly or Poker should understand this easily and completely.  Once one person has all of the money, the game is over, and if you play long enough one person will eventually have all of the money.  No other outcome is possible. 

Marriner Eccles, the Federal Reserve chairman during the Great Depression, expressed this very well in Beckoning Frontiers.  To paraphrase: 

As mass production has to be accompanied by mass consumption, mass consumption implies a distribution of wealth to provide buying power.  Instead of achieving that kind of distribution, by 1929-30 a giant suction pump had drawn an increasing portion of wealth into the hands of a few. The other fellows could stay in the game only by borrowing. When their credit ran out, the game stopped. 

This same thing is happening today.  The disparity in wealth between the few who are very rich and everyone else is the greatest it has been since just before the Great Depression in 1928.  Unemployment is high, people are losing their homes, and the middle class is shrinking.

The implications of understanding this inherent lack of sustainability in capitalism are enormous.  Those who claim that the solution to our economic problems is to give the wealthy more money with which to create jobs by cutting their taxes and reducing regulations have it exactly backwards.  Clearly the problem is not that wealthy people and businesses don’t have enough money to create jobs.  They have lots of money.  The problem is that there isn’t enough demand for the goods and services that those jobs would produce to justify creating them.

In order to balance the “giant suction pump” drawing wealth into the hands of the few, capitalism needs a counter-balancing pump that draws some money from the top where it is sitting unproductively and pushes it back through the economy where it can create demand.  Otherwise, the system is not sustainable.  This is referred to as a sustainability pump.

It should be clear that this sustainability pump must not operate on borrowed money and must not result in government handouts to freeloaders.  The government already borrows too much money, and just dispensing money to those who haven’t earned it creates a dependent class of people with low self-esteem, results in enormous resentment from those who have worked hard to earn the money, and ultimately doesn’t help anyone.  People need the opportunity to prosper by having good job opportunities and the resources to take care of their well being. 

It is, however, necessary for the sustainability pump to have a way to draw unproductive money from the top in order to be able to push it back through the system.  It must do this through increased taxes on the wealthy, reduced government waste, and targeted spending cuts.  Closing loop holes so that all corporations will pay their fare share of taxes can also help. 

Many claim that increasing taxes will choke off the very modest recovery that we now have.  They would have you believe that cutting spending is the only viable way to reduce our debt.  However, it is worth noting that one of the biggest factors leading to our current debt is that we have cut taxes to a level not seen since the 1950's.  There have been many very prosperous periods since then with much higher taxes than we have today.

Just as the sustainability pump must siphon money from the top, it must also push that money back through the system in ways that will help the economy be productive.  There are many good ways to do this such as spending on infrastructure, education, research, conservation, clean energy, small business incubators, support for developing industries, health care, housing, public works, public safety, and reduction in those things causing climate change.

There are those who will try to dismiss this idea by labeling it as redistribution of wealth or social engineering, but the enormously skewed distribution of buying power is the heart of the problem.  One percent of the people have more money than they can possibly spend on goods and services.  The other 99% don’t have the buying power that a robust economy requires.  As Marriner Eccles noted, mass consumption requires a distribution of wealth.  He might have added that the broad demand on which capitalism thrives is based upon that mass consumption.   This does not have to be wasteful consumption or environmentally destructive consumption.  As has increasingly been the case in our service economy, much of the demand can consist of services rather than disposable goods, and those goods that are produced can be created in a sustainable and responsible manner.  Nevertheless, adequate demand for goods and services must exist for our economy to work well.

Some will argue that growing the entire economy will help everyone do better, and that should be our focus.  Of course we need to help the economy grow, but that simply won’t happen as long as 99% of the people can’t create their share of the demand our economy needs.  The 1% have been very prosperous during the first part of the 21st century.  Focusing on the other 99% for a while will make the entire economy work better.

Still others will argue that the government doesn't create jobs; businesses do.  It is interesting to note that many of the people making this argument have government jobs and that government is in fact a huge employer.  However, what is being suggested here is not that we solve our unemployment by having everyone without a job work for the government.  Most of the jobs that would be created by the techniques recommended would be in the private sector.  However, they would be doing projects initiated by the government.  This would not only create jobs, but even more importantly, it would have a huge catalytic effect.  Putting some people to work gives them money to buy goods and services that other people create which puts still more people to work creating a huge leveraging effect.  Thus, the overall impact of providing such a stimulus can be very big.

This needs to be the best country in the world to do business and create jobs because it has a fair tax structure, people with enough money to buy products and services, the best support infrastructure, the best-trained and healthiest work force, the best research, and a safe environment.  This is how we get those exported jobs to come back home.  And the beauty of it all is that we can make capitalism sustainable in the process of creating it.

Friday, January 27, 2012

My Best Photos of 2011

I am an amateur photographer and belong to a couple of camera clubs.   It is very humbling to see the incredible images that other photographers come up with so at the end of the year I like to review my efforts to see if there is any hope.  Here are my 20 favorite images from last year. 

1 - Crosstown Park

2 - Hold That Hat

3 - Mother Love

4 - Minnesota Arboretum

5 - Leopard

6 - Crocodile

7 - Purple Flower

8 - Backlit Elk

9 - Mt Rushmore Panorama

10 - Canada Lynx

11 - Lilly

12 - Grand Teton Panorama

13 - Seattle Skyline

14 - Lion Geyser with Rainbow

15 - Bucking Bronco

16 - Blue Heron

17 - San Francisco Panorama

18 - Duck on Pond

19 - Pensive Bear


20 - Sunset

Thursday, January 26, 2012

Adding Solar Power to Wind Farms

Good news.  According to the Star Tribune (Energy firm to put solar array near wind farms ), a company called Ecos Energy is building solar power arrays near wind farms in Slayton, Minnesota. 

This is still experimental, but it appears to be an ingenious idea.  The wind blows less in the summer and more at night.  The sun shines more in the summer and not at all at night.  A big problem with both wind and solar power is that power generation is variable since it depends on how much the wind is blowing or the sun is shining. Backup generation is always required for those times when the renewable power source isn’t producing enough.  Combining these technologies should even out many of the fluctuations.  Of course, there will still be times when neither the wind nor the sun is providing a good energy source, but these should occur less frequently than with either technology alone.
Possibly even more important, combining these two technologies allows the power producers to leverage their investment in connections to the power grid.  These are expensive to build and require a time-consuming and difficult process to obtain permits and rights of way.

Ideally, battery technology would allow wind and solar generators to store energy when an excess of power is being produced and release it when there is not enough.  However, cost-effective batteries of sufficient capacity to accomplish that do not exist.  Until they are developed, combining technologies like solar and wind generations seems like a great idea.  Both technologies are becoming less costly and more efficient.  We need them for a clean-energy future.  Wish these projects success.

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

The Minnesota Vikings Want a New Stadium

The Minnesota Vikings want a new stadium.  Well, why shouldn’t they?  I want a new car.  But they want us to pay for their place of business.  They’re actually serious.  They want us to pay for it, or at least a large part of it. 

Why, you might ask do they need a new stadium?  Doesn’t the current stadium give them enough of a home-field advantage?  Yes it does.  In fact it is so noisy that it’s one of the biggest home-field advantages in the league.
Is it too small?  No, the new one they want to build is about the same size as the current one.

Is it old and decrepit?  Well, it’s about 40 years old.  That’s one of the older stadiums in the league but it’s still perfectly serviceable, looks OK, and does what it needs to do.
So it needs a dome to get the fans out of the Minnesota winters, right?  No it has a dome.  The dome does have a tendency to collapse every 30-40 years in really bad snow storms which is paid for by insurance.  But come on.  Every forty years?

But it’s hard to get there with no public transportation nearby and no parking, right?  Actually, the light rail was routed into the wrong side of downtown just so that it could go by the stadium, and there are lots of relatively modestly priced parking garages nearby.
So, what’s the problem?  Well, it seems there are two:  It doesn’t have nice enough dressing rooms and it doesn’t generate enough money.

Given how much the players make, should we really care if they have to change in less opulent dressing rooms or for that matter in their RVs or the restroom.  Suck it up, guys.  It’s 10 times a year.  Pretend you’re in your luxury car.
Second, you want us to pay millions of dollars for a new stadium so you can charge us more to go to a game?  Seriously?

At the risk of sounding like a politician, may I suggest that the Vikings don’t have a revenue problem?  They have a spending problem.  The owners have billions.  The players make millions.  So the problem is that the fans don’t pay enough?
But if we don’t build a new stadium, they will leave.  OK.  Isn’t that called extortion?  Don’t we realize that no matter what we do, the larger markets will always do something bigger, better, and more expensive?  It’s a game we can’t win.  At some point some city has to say, so be it.  We have children to educate and roads to build and people to protect.  You can’t seriously expect us to spend a billion dollars to give you a place to play eight regular, two preseason and occasionally a playoff game or two each year at a higher price than we pay now.  Besides, we still have our televisions, which is how the vast majority of us see the games anyway.  Are our lives really so pathetic that we can’t feel complete unless the team is called the Minnesota Vikings?

Well, at least the law says that a stadium can’t be built without a referendum so we don’t have to worry unless a majority is willing to spend the money.  You’d think so, but those who want the stadium are busily trying to find ways to circumvent the law.  You’d think that would get them kicked out of office faster than you can say “We lost another Super Bowl,” but it didn’t seem to cause any problems when the Twins pulled the same trick.
Those who will make a fortune from a new stadium have managed to change the discussion from whether to build a stadium to where to build it.  In one sense, that’s ingenious.  But in a larger sense, it is insidious.  Look at our state’s economy.  Look at our needs.  Look at our long-term goals.  And you think the best way to spend a billion dollars is on a new stadium?  Really?

Monday, January 23, 2012

Reducing Waste in Government

It is axiomatic that there is waste in government.  There are four reasons for this:  First, some government programs are inefficiently implemented.  Second, some programs duplicate substantial parts of other programs.  Third, some programs address problems that very few people care about.  And fourth, some people benefit from the waste and want to see it continue.

There have been many attempts to find waste in government.  Some have identified real opportunities.  The problem is that the constituency for eliminating waste is rarely as large or powerful as the one for continuing it, so the waste continues.   We can’t afford to do that anymore.

All government departments need to find ways to continue their important functions at a cost reduction of 5%.  This must be done as a real reduction to what was actually spent in 2011; not as some theoretical calculation relative to what would have been spent if this or that growth trend had continued or a particular budget request had been passed.  All of this must be done without reducing functions or services, without accounting tricks, and without subterfuge.  This is difficult, but it can be done.  Companies do it all the time.

Most important, there must be a simple, understandable report to the people from each department showing what cuts were made and how their potential impact on functions and services was circumvented.

Sunday, January 22, 2012

How to Fix Our Broken Government by Changing Contribution Rules

None of our economic problems will get fixed as long as our government is broken, and our government is very broken.  It is broken for one simple reason: money.  People and companies in Washington with lots of money are allowed to buy influence, and being in Congress has become a job that legislators will do almost anything to retain.  Both of those things need to change.

In addition, methods for manipulating public opinion have become very effective.  Some view lying simply as a tactic rather than a moral issue. Manipulating public opinion costs a lot of money, but that isn’t a problem.  It is worth a lot of money to rich people and companies to get preferential treatment from the government, and that is what they do.

This is a very difficult problem to solve.  The rich and powerful almost never give up their privileged positions without a struggle.  The people in Congress who must solve the problem are those who are causing it, but we must find a way to prevail.

Some of the following proposals may be implemented with laws.  Some may simply require rule changes in Congress.  Some may need constitutional amendments.  But whatever the process,  this is what needs to be done.

Political Contributions

- Contributions Only from Your Constituents

Only individual people should be able to contribute to the campaigns of persons running for elected office, and they should be able to contribute only to candidates for whom they are eligible to vote. If the candidate is not going to represent you, keep your money out of the election.   

Only individual people can vote, and they are the only ones who should be able to influence the outcome of an election through political contributions.  No companies, corporations, labor unions, organizations, political parties, or other entities except individual, living people should be eligible to make political contributions in money or kind to any candidate for elected office.  Likewise, none of these groups should be able to run advertisements on their own that clearly are designed to affect the outcomes of the election by supporting or denigrating a particular candidate.

The Supreme Court may believe that corporations are people, but people know that they are not.  By people we mean real, live, sitting-in-your-living-room people.

Small Amounts Only

No individual should be able to contribute an amount to a campaign that is so large that by itself it significantly affects the outcome of the election and causes the candidate to incur a special indebtedness to the contributor.  Successful candidates must receive broad support from many people.  A small dollar limit such as $500 dollars should be placed on contributions from one person to one candidate during one election. 

Saturday, January 21, 2012

Income and Wealth Disparity in the United States

Income Disparity

According to the Congressional Budget Office, between 1979 and 2007 incomes for the top 20% of American earners grew by 89% or $124,000 while incomes for those in the lowest quintile grew by only 11% or $1,800. [[i]] 

Incomes for the top 1% of earners grew by an amazing 241% or $1,323,000.   Thus, incomes for the top 1% of earners grew by 735 times as much as those for the lowest quintile. [[ii]]

In 2007 this top 1% had a larger share of total income than at any time since 1928, just before the start of the Great Depression.



Wealth Disparity

In 2007 the richest 1% of Americans owned 35% of the country's wealth while the next 19% owned 50%. Thus, the top 20% owned 85% of the country's wealth while the bottom 80% owned 15%. [[iii]]

Fairness

It certainly would not be fair for everyone to receive the same income or control the same amount of wealth.  Effort, risk-taking, initiative, innovation, responsibility, and well developed skills must be rewarded for our economy to function well.  The problem is with the degree of inequity. 

Our system is not so fair that we can say with any certainty that those who succeed simply deserve success due to the decisions they make and the effort they expend.  Many others who make reasonable decisions and work hard don’t succeed for reasons beyond their control.  They get sick, their factory closes, they have the wrong skills, their company fails, their job is outsourced, they are in the wrong place, and so forth. 

It is fundamentally unfair for a small segment of our society literally to have more money than they know what to do with while huge numbers of others lack jobs, homes, good food, medical care, and the basic necessities of life.  That just isn’t the kind of society we want.