There is a good chance that Mitt Romney will be our next
president. I’m dreading that
possibility, and here is why.
1.
Romney will explode our national
debt.
I know that Romney has been promising that he will reduce our deficit and get
our national
debt under control. That’s
one of the main reasons people are voting for him. But if you look at
what he is proposing to
do, that can’t happen.
You can’t start out with a trillion dollar deficit, cut taxes by $5 trillion, increase
military spending
by $2 trillion, and pledge not to increase any revenues
without doing one of three things. The
first would be to eliminate virtually all income tax deductions including home
mortgage interest
deductions, state tax deductions, medical deductions,
charitable deductions, earned income
credits, and standard deductions for
everyone; not just the wealthy. The effect would be to
transfer taxes from the wealthy to the middle class. Romney
says he has six studies that show
that he won’t have to do that. His “studies” consist of blog posts and editorials
by conservative
writers. He can’t do it,
so he will take his second option. He will play accounting games and
explode the
deficit. The third option would be to
make draconian cuts in research, education,
Medicaid, Medicare, infrastructure, veteran’s
benefits, social welfare, and everything that
supports the middle and lower
classes. That would be too
unpopular. He will choose to explode
the
deficits on the promise that things will get better later.
Clearly Obama hasn’t made as much progress on reducing the deficit as we need,
but despite
what you probably have heard, he has been reducing it. Here are the deficit numbers for the
past few
years: 2009-$1.41 trillion (Wall Street
bailout), 2010-$1.29 trillion, 2011-1.30 trillion,
2012-$1.09 trillion, 2013-$0.90
trillion (projected). Those are still
unacceptable numbers, but
there is reason to expect them to continue to
decrease as the economy improves.
2. Romney will
kill jobs.
Romney claims he will create jobs through his tax cuts, mostly for the wealthy,
based on his extensive knowledge of how business works. I’m not sure why people believe that running
a takeover company gives you knowledge that would be useful in managing the
national economy, but apparently they do.
Our jobs market collapsed because the housing market collapsed, because financial
mismanagement nearly caused our financial institutions to collapse, because of
major problems in export markets, because of decades of sending our jobs
overseas, because too much of our money has accumulated in the hands of a few people
who can’t spend it, and in general due to an inadequate demand for our goods and
services. The idea that any significant
part of it has to do with over-regulation, health-care uncertainty, or high taxes is
ludicrous.
The job market is slowly improving, and the stimulus definitely did help in
spite of the fact that Republican insistence on allocating 40% of it to tax
cuts greatly reduced its effectiveness.
What is needed to further increase hiring is to take some of the money
that has accumulated in the hands of the few and use it for productive
spending. Productive spending is not
giving the money to free-loaders. It is
spending it in ways that make this a better place to do business and that
create jobs in the process. The best
example is broadly defined infrastructure projects. Not only do we need roads and bridges, but
also better internet, railroads, airports, buried power cables, smart power
grids, seaports, sewers, flood control, schools, hospitals, and
telecommunications. Smart spending also
includes research, education, healthcare, public works, small-business
incubators, conservation, clean energy, and public safety. All of these will not only create jobs directly
but will have a catalytic effect that creates even more jobs to support these
activities.
Romney wants to do exactly the opposite.
He wants to give still more money to those who already can’t spend what
they have, and he wants an austerity budget that will kill hundreds of
thousands of government jobs and jobs that depend on them. He loves to say that government doesn’t
create jobs. Try telling that to the 1.8
million people, including all of the politicians, who work for the federal
government, and that doesn’t include the post office or military.
3. Romney will
appoint activist, conservative Supreme Court judges.
Romney may say that he is not against abortion in cases of rape, incest, or to
preserve the life of the mother, but when he appoints still more activist,
conservative Supreme Court judges like Scalia, Row v. Wade will be overturned. When that happens, all protections for
abortion disappear. The states and
federal government can pass whatever laws they want, and as we have already seen,
some of those will be pretty amazing.
Certainly a personhood amendment declaring that a fertilized egg has
all the protections of an actual born human being will be one of them. That will eliminate all abortions for
the poor. The rich of course will still just go to another country as they did
prior to Row v. Wade. It will also
eliminate most kinds of birth control and in
vitro fertilization.
I’m old enough to remember when women had their lives ruined or even ended by
back-alley butchers. I don’t want to go
back there. If you believe that life
begins at the instant of conception (which by the way takes several minutes or even hours)
then don’t have an abortion, but please recognize that many of our citizens
don’t see it that way, and don’t force your religious beliefs on them.
We can also expect more cases like the Citizens United decision. In addition to giving corporations and foreign governments unbelievable
influence over our elections, it has already allowed companies to start telling their employees how to vote.
Corporations are not people. No
serious, unbiased judge could ever conclude that they are.
The courts have been the most important protector of our rights over the past
50 years. I’d like for it to stay that
way.
4. Romney will
strip important regulations from our system.
It has become apparent over the past 30 years that a president doesn’t need to
overturn a regulation or law he disagrees with.
All he needs to do is either to appoint no one or to appoint someone who
doesn’t believe in the regulation to head the department enforcing the it. Alternatively, he can fail to fund the
responsible department.
Capitalism is a wonderful system, but it needs to be regulated. Corporations will nearly always do the thing
that makes the most money regardless of the impact it has on the public good. Without regulation, Detroit would still be
making gas guzzling, unsafe automobiles that pollute the environment. Without regulation, unscrupulous companies
would still be selling patent medicines that not only don’t help people but
that actually hurt them. Without
regulation, our bank deposits wouldn’t be secure. Without regulation, our financial institutions would bring our economy to the brink of collapse again. Of course some regulations are overzealous or
poorly conceived. We need to fix those,
but that doesn’t mean that we need to start throwing out regulations right and
left to “help create jobs.”
5. Romney will
get us into a stupid war.
Romney is a rank amateur when it
comes to foreign policy. He’s a
businessman. Has it normally been your
experience that business executives have a good knowledge of foreign
affairs? Of course he will have advisors
just as Bush the Second did. Of course
they will drag us into stupid wars, just like Cheney did. Romney obviously believes that if he just
spends enough on our military, Iran will be so afraid that they will just
do what we want just like he thinks the USSR did under Reagan. That wasn’t why the USSR collapsed, and it
won’t work with Iran. It’s a really
scary prospect to have someone with absolutely no idea what they are doing
running our military and foreign policy.
6. Romney will
waste four more years not doing anything about global climate change.
Honestly, I don’t know whether Obama
will do anything about global climate change either, but I do know that Romney
will not. Climate change is real. It is caused by human activity. It will have catastrophic results. Many of us will live to see it. The clock is running.
7. Romney does
not really believe in church/state separation.
Separation of church and state is
good for the state, and it is good for the church. If you want to find a country where they
don’t take religion seriously, look for one with a state religion. The whole right wing of the Republican Party,
which Romney has so heartily endorsed, doesn’t believe in separation of church
and state. I do. I don’t want to see it end.
8. Romney will try to get rid of Obamacare.
Maybe other people don't mind paying $2,000 per year in increased medical costs to cover the expenses of those who choose not to get insurance and get their medical care through the emergency room at our expense. I do mind. Obamacare will stop that.
Why is it a bad thing for 30 million people who get minimal medical care because they have no insurance to now have a way to take care of themselves and their children? I think it's a good thing?
I like that people with pre-existing conditions will be able to get insurance, that people won't
lose their insurance because they exceed some lifetime cap or change jobs, that older youth can stay on their parents' policies until they get established, that insurance companies have a limit on how much they can spend on administrative and executive costs, and that people won't go bankrupt because of unforeseen medical expenses.
We were the only major democracy in the world that didn't provide medical care for all of its citizens. Obamacare is far from perfect. It would be much better if Obama hadn't made so many concessions to the Republicans who ended up not supporting it anyway, but it is way better than where we were.
The one area where Romney may actually be an
improvement over President Obama is in working with Congress. Although they will certainly be partisans, I
do not believe that the Democrats will put up the iron wall that the
Republicans have in which all considerations of what is good for the country
will be cast aside in pursuit of what is good for the party. In case after case the Republicans have been
united in their opposition to ideas that were originally theirs and that they
sponsored bills to establish, just because President Obama came out in favor of
them. It is truly the most cynical thing
I have ever seen to throw the country under the bus repeatedly by obstructing
anything Obama wanted to do no matter how good for the country and then
criticize him for not getting enough done.
The Democrats will not do that, so Romney wins on this one.